Win Probability, and Giants and Jets Links

A sampling of non-Brett Favre stories (there are still some of those out there) …1)Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats has completed the win probability graphs for the last five N.F.L. seasons, charting how each play influenced the chances of victory. As an example, he cited David Tyree’s “catch in the hat” in the Super Bowl, saying it improved the Giants’ chances of victory by +0.19.Burke wrote:Sadly, no one will remember the 2-yd gain by Jacobs on 4th and 1 to keep the drive alive, but that play

Win Probability, and Giants and Jets Links

A sampling of non-Brett Favre stories (there are still some of those out there) …1)Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats has completed the win probability graphs for the last five N.F.L. seasons, charting how each play influenced the chances of victory. As an example, he cited David Tyree’s “catch in the hat” in the Super Bowl, saying it improved the Giants’ chances of victory by +0.19.Burke wrote:Sadly, no one will remember the 2-yd gain by Jacobs on 4th and 1 to keep the drive alive, but that play

Win Probability Graphs for the Entire 2007 Season

Win Probability Graphs for the Entire 2007 Season With 12:44 left in the fourth, following a Shaun Suisham kickoff recovered by Anthony Mix, the Washington Redskins had a 78% chance of winning 2007 Wild Card game against the Seattle Seahawks. Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats has the coolest new toy of the offseason. Check it out.

Drafting Linebackers

Advanced NFL Stats has continued their series on draft scarcity, this time focusing on linebackers . We've certainly seen the Seahawks build a linebacking corps out of guys drafted after the first round (Julian Peterson is the exception, although the Niners drafted him). Once again, there are graphs that you'll want to take a look at, so make sure you actually click through and follow the link. Remember that this is not a discussion of value, but rather a discussion of success. Firstly, the m